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PIT Away

Pittsburgh Steelers

4-2 HC Mike McCarthy
@
JAX Home

Jacksonville Jaguars

4-2 HC Liam Coen
Monday 2026-12-14 · 20:15 ET EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

PIT
22.6%
JAX
77.4%
❓ Unknown

Confidence: strong edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • QB edge to JAX: Trevor Lawrence (JAX) +0.289 vs Aaron Rodgers (PIT) -0.055 EPA/dropback
  • JAX defense: -0.160 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (4th in the league)
  • PIT offense: -0.062 EPA/play over its last 8 games (25th in the league)
  • JAX offense: +0.093 EPA/play over its last 8 games (4th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

PIT 20 13–27
–
JAX 27 20–34
Projected margin: JAX by 7 Projected total: 47

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 14

PIT

No players on the report.

JAX

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 14 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.