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Minnesota Vikings

HC Kevin O'Connell
@
NE Home

New England Patriots

HC Mike Vrabel
Thursday 2026-12-10 · 20:15 Gillette Stadium, Foxborough US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

MIN
24.5%
NE
75.5%
Unknown

Confidence: <strong>strong edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • MIN offense: -0.129 EPA/play over its last 8 games (28th in the league)
  • NE defense: -0.157 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (5th in the league)
  • MIN defense: -0.164 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (3rd in the league)
  • NE offense: +0.061 EPA/play over its last 8 games (6th in the league)
  • Drake Maye (NE): +0.119 EPA/dropback in prior starts

Predicted Final Score

MIN 20
NE 26
Projected margin: NE by 6 Projected total: 46

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 14

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.