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Houston Texans

2-4 HC DeMeco Ryans
@
WAS Home

Washington Commanders

1-4-1 HC Dan Quinn
Sunday 2026-12-13 · 13:00 ET Northwest Stadium, Landover US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

HOU
52.5%
WAS
47.5%
❓ Unknown

Confidence: coin flip Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • WAS defense: +0.166 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (29th in the league)
  • HOU defense: -0.144 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (6th in the league)
  • HOU offense: -0.032 EPA/play over its last 8 games (23rd in the league)
  • Jayden Daniels (WAS): -0.001 EPA/dropback in prior starts

Predicted Final Score

HOU 25 18–32
–
WAS 22 15–29
Projected margin: HOU by 3 Projected total: 47

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 14

HOU

No players on the report.

WAS

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 14 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.