4TH&DATA
EN ES
Home
ATL Away

Atlanta Falcons

2-4 HC Raheem Morris
@
CLE Home

Cleveland Browns

4-2 HC Todd Monken
Sunday 2026-12-13 · 13:00 ET Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

ATL
55.9%
CLE
44.1%
❓ Unknown

Confidence: slight edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • CLE offense: -0.246 EPA/play over its last 8 games (32nd in the league)
  • CLE defense: -0.107 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (7th in the league)
  • Deshaun Watson (CLE): -0.104 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • ATL offense: +0.018 EPA/play over its last 8 games (13th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

ATL 23 16–30
–
CLE 22 15–29
Projected margin: ATL by 1 Projected total: 45

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 14

ATL

No players on the report.

CLE

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 14 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.