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JAX Away

Jacksonville Jaguars

4-2 HC Liam Coen
@
CHI Home

Chicago Bears

4-2 HC Ben Johnson
Sunday 2026-12-06 · 13:00 ET Soldier Field, Chicago US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

JAX
48.1%
CHI
51.9%
❓ Unknown

Confidence: coin flip Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • JAX offense: +0.093 EPA/play over its last 8 games (4th in the league)
  • CHI offense: +0.058 EPA/play over its last 8 games (7th in the league)
  • QB edge to JAX: Caleb Williams (CHI) +0.140 vs Trevor Lawrence (JAX) +0.289 EPA/dropback
  • CHI on 3 more days rest than JAX
  • CHI defense: +0.055 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (22nd in the league)

Predicted Final Score

JAX 24 17–31
–
CHI 27 20–34
Projected margin: CHI by 3 Projected total: 51

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 13

JAX

No players on the report.

CHI

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 13 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.