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DET Away

Detroit Lions

HC Dan Campbell
@
ATL Home

Atlanta Falcons

HC Raheem Morris
Sunday 2026-12-06 · 13:00 Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta US 🏟 Dome

Win Probability

DET
46.4%
ATL
53.6%
🏟 Dome

Confidence: <strong>coin flip</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • Indoors — weather neutralised
  • DET offense: +0.018 EPA/play over its last 8 games (12th in the league)
  • Jared Goff (DET): +0.123 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • DET defense: +0.062 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (24th in the league)
  • DET on 3 more days rest than ATL
  • ATL offense: +0.018 EPA/play over its last 8 games (13th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

DET 22
ATL 25
Projected margin: ATL by 3 Projected total: 47

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 13

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.