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DET Away

Detroit Lions

3-2 HC Dan Campbell
@
ATL Home

Atlanta Falcons

2-4 HC Raheem Morris
Sunday 2026-12-06 · 13:00 ET Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta US 🏟 Dome

Win Probability

DET
55.8%
ATL
44.2%
🏟 Dome

Confidence: slight edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • Jared Goff (DET): +0.224 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • Indoors — weather neutralised
  • DET offense: +0.018 EPA/play over its last 8 games (12th in the league)
  • ATL offense: +0.018 EPA/play over its last 8 games (13th in the league)
  • DET on 3 more days rest than ATL

Predicted Final Score

DET 25 18–32
–
ATL 22 15–29
Projected margin: DET by 3 Projected total: 47

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 13

DET

No players on the report.

ATL

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 13 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.