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Sunday 2026-12-06 · 16:25 ET
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough US
❓ Unknown
Win Probability
Unknown
Confidence: slight edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- BUF offense: +0.157 EPA/play over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)
- NE defense: -0.157 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (5th in the league)
- NE offense: +0.061 EPA/play over its last 8 games (6th in the league)
- Josh Allen (BUF): +0.196 EPA/dropback in prior starts
- BUF on 3 more days rest than NE
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Predicted Final Score
BUF
22
15–29
–
NE
26
19–33
Projected margin: NE by 4
Projected total: 48
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 13
BUF
No players on the report.
NE
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 13 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.
