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BUF Away

Buffalo Bills

HC Sean McDermott
@
NE Home

New England Patriots

HC Mike Vrabel
Sunday 2026-12-06 · 16:25 Gillette Stadium, Foxborough US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

BUF
48.1%
NE
51.9%
Unknown

Confidence: <strong>coin flip</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • BUF offense: +0.157 EPA/play over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)
  • NE defense: -0.157 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (5th in the league)
  • NE offense: +0.061 EPA/play over its last 8 games (6th in the league)
  • BUF on 3 more days rest than NE
  • QB edge to BUF: Drake Maye (NE) +0.119 vs Josh Allen (BUF) +0.140 EPA/dropback

Predicted Final Score

BUF 22
NE 25
Projected margin: NE by 3 Projected total: 47

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 13

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.