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Washington Commanders

1-4-1 HC Dan Quinn
@
ARI Home

Arizona Cardinals

2-4 HC Jonathan Gannon
Sunday 2026-11-29 · 16:25 ET State Farm Stadium, Glendale US 🏟 Dome

Win Probability

WAS
51.9%
ARI
48.1%
🏟 Dome

Confidence: coin flip Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • ARI defense: +0.195 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (31st in the league)
  • Indoors — weather neutralised
  • WAS defense: +0.166 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (29th in the league)
  • ARI offense: -0.007 EPA/play over its last 8 games (18th in the league)
  • WAS offense: +0.018 EPA/play over its last 8 games (14th in the league)
  • QB edge to WAS: Jacoby Brissett (ARI) -0.014 vs Jayden Daniels (WAS) -0.001 EPA/dropback

Predicted Final Score

WAS 25 18–32
–
ARI 24 17–31
Projected margin: WAS by 1 Projected total: 49

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 12

WAS

No players on the report.

ARI

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 12 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.