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Sunday 2026-11-29 · 13:00 ET
Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens US
❓ Unknown
Win Probability
Unknown
Confidence: clear edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- NYJ offense: -0.229 EPA/play over its last 8 games (30th in the league)
- NYJ defense: +0.224 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (32nd in the league)
- MIA offense: -0.018 EPA/play over its last 8 games (20th in the league)
- MIA defense: +0.057 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (23rd in the league)
- QB edge to NYJ: Malik Willis (MIA) -0.058 vs Geno Smith (NYJ) -0.069 EPA/dropback
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Predicted Final Score
NYJ
20
13–27
–
MIA
25
18–32
Projected margin: MIA by 5
Projected total: 45
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 12
NYJ
No players on the report.
MIA
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 12 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.