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NYJ Away

New York Jets

2-4 HC Aaron Glenn
@
MIA Home

Miami Dolphins

0-5 HC Jeff Hafley
Sunday 2026-11-29 · 13:00 ET Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

NYJ
31.1%
MIA
68.9%
❓ Unknown

Confidence: clear edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • NYJ offense: -0.229 EPA/play over its last 8 games (30th in the league)
  • NYJ defense: +0.224 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (32nd in the league)
  • MIA offense: -0.018 EPA/play over its last 8 games (20th in the league)
  • MIA defense: +0.057 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (23rd in the league)
  • QB edge to NYJ: Malik Willis (MIA) -0.058 vs Geno Smith (NYJ) -0.069 EPA/dropback

Predicted Final Score

NYJ 20 13–27
–
MIA 25 18–32
Projected margin: MIA by 5 Projected total: 45

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 12

NYJ

No players on the report.

MIA

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 12 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.