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Thursday 2026-11-26 · 20:20 ET
Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park US
❓ Unknown
Win Probability
Unknown
Confidence: strong edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- BUF offense: +0.157 EPA/play over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)
- KC offense: -0.120 EPA/play over its last 8 games (26th in the league)
- Josh Allen (BUF): +0.196 EPA/dropback in prior starts
- KC defense: -0.031 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (13th in the league)
- BUF defense: -0.058 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (10th in the league)
New to these stats? NFL 101 Glossary →
Predicted Final Score
KC
20
13–27
–
BUF
28
21–35
Projected margin: BUF by 8
Projected total: 48
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 12
KC
No players on the report.
BUF
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 12 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.
