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CHI Away

Chicago Bears

4-2 HC Ben Johnson
@
DET Home

Detroit Lions

3-2 HC Dan Campbell
Thursday 2026-11-26 · 13:00 ET Ford Field, Detroit US 🏟 Dome

Win Probability

CHI
39.9%
DET
60.1%
🏟 Dome

Confidence: slight edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • CHI offense: +0.058 EPA/play over its last 8 games (7th in the league)
  • QB edge to DET: Jared Goff (DET) +0.224 vs Caleb Williams (CHI) +0.140 EPA/dropback
  • Indoors — weather neutralised
  • CHI defense: +0.055 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (22nd in the league)

Predicted Final Score

CHI 24 17–31
–
DET 25 18–32
Projected margin: DET by 1 Projected total: 49

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 12

CHI

No players on the report.

DET

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 12 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.