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Sunday 2026-11-22 · 13:00 ET
Ford Field, Detroit US
🏟 Dome
Win Probability
Dome
Confidence: clear edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- QB edge to DET: Jared Goff (DET) +0.224 vs Baker Mayfield (TB) -0.119 EPA/dropback
- TB on 7 more days rest than DET
- Indoors — weather neutralised
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Predicted Final Score
TB
24
17–31
–
DET
25
18–32
Projected margin: DET by 1
Projected total: 49
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 11
TB
No players on the report.
DET
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 11 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.
