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Sunday 2026-11-22 · 16:05 ET
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood US
🏟 Dome
Win Probability
Dome
Confidence: strong edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- NYJ offense: -0.229 EPA/play over its last 8 games (30th in the league)
- NYJ defense: +0.224 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (32nd in the league)
- LAC offense: -0.124 EPA/play over its last 8 games (27th in the league)
- LAC defense: -0.089 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (8th in the league)
- Indoors — weather neutralised
- QB edge to NYJ: Justin Herbert (LAC) -0.130 vs Geno Smith (NYJ) -0.069 EPA/dropback
New to these stats? NFL 101 Glossary →
Predicted Final Score
NYJ
20
13–27
–
LAC
26
19–33
Projected margin: LAC by 6
Projected total: 46
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 11
NYJ
No players on the report.
LAC
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 11 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.
