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New Orleans Saints

2-4 HC Kellen Moore
@
CHI Home

Chicago Bears

4-2 HC Ben Johnson
Sunday 2026-11-22 · 13:00 ET Soldier Field, Chicago US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

NO
30.8%
CHI
69.2%
❓ Unknown

Confidence: clear edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • CHI offense: +0.058 EPA/play over its last 8 games (7th in the league)
  • CHI on 7 more days rest than NO
  • Caleb Williams (CHI): +0.140 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • NO offense: -0.011 EPA/play over its last 8 games (19th in the league)
  • NO defense: -0.173 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)
  • CHI defense: +0.055 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (22nd in the league)

Predicted Final Score

NO 23 16–30
–
CHI 26 19–33
Projected margin: CHI by 3 Projected total: 49

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 11

NO

No players on the report.

CHI

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 11 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.