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Minnesota Vikings

5-0 HC Kevin O'Connell
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San Francisco 49ers

6-0 HC Kyle Shanahan
Sunday 2026-11-22 · 20:20 ET Estadio Banorte, Mexico City MX ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

MIN
39.4%
SF
60.6%
❓ Unknown

Confidence: slight edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • Neutral site — no home-field edge
  • MIN offense: -0.129 EPA/play over its last 8 games (28th in the league)
  • MIN defense: -0.164 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (3rd in the league)
  • SF offense: +0.041 EPA/play over its last 8 games (11th in the league)
  • SF defense: +0.035 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (20th in the league)
  • Brock Purdy (SF): +0.249 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • Played at altitude (3,000+ ft)

Predicted Final Score

MIN 22 15–29
–
SF 24 17–31
Projected margin: SF by 2 Projected total: 46

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 11

MIN

No players on the report.

SF

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 11 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.