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MIA Away

Miami Dolphins

HC Jeff Hafley
@
BUF Home

Buffalo Bills

HC Sean McDermott
Sunday 2026-11-22 · 13:00 Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

MIA
22.1%
BUF
77.9%
Unknown

Confidence: <strong>strong edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • BUF offense: +0.157 EPA/play over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)
  • Josh Allen (BUF): +0.140 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • BUF defense: -0.058 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (10th in the league)
  • MIA defense: +0.057 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (23rd in the league)

Predicted Final Score

MIA 21
BUF 29
Projected margin: BUF by 8 Projected total: 50

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 11

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.