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JAX Away

Jacksonville Jaguars

4-2 HC Liam Coen
@
NYG Home

New York Giants

3-2-1 HC John Harbaugh
Sunday 2026-11-22 · 13:00 ET MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

JAX
53.6%
NYG
46.4%
❓ Unknown

Confidence: coin flip Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • QB edge to JAX: Jameis Winston (NYG) -0.059 vs Trevor Lawrence (JAX) +0.289 EPA/dropback
  • JAX offense: +0.093 EPA/play over its last 8 games (4th in the league)
  • NYG on 3 more days rest than JAX

Predicted Final Score

JAX 26 19–33
–
NYG 22 15–29
Projected margin: JAX by 4 Projected total: 48

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 11

JAX

No players on the report.

NYG

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 11 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.