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Thursday 2026-11-19 · 20:15
Reliant Stadium, Houston US
🏟 Dome
Win Probability
Dome
Confidence: <strong>clear edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Key Insights
- HOU defense: -0.144 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (6th in the league)
- IND offense: -0.053 EPA/play over its last 8 games (24th in the league)
- Daniel Jones (IND): +0.164 EPA/dropback in prior starts
- Indoors — weather neutralised
- IND defense: +0.067 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (25th in the league)
- HOU offense: -0.032 EPA/play over its last 8 games (23rd in the league)
Predicted Final Score
IND
21
–
HOU
24
Projected margin: HOU by 3
Projected total: 45
Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.
Injury Report — Week 11
No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.
Actual Result
Not played yet.