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IND Away

Indianapolis Colts

2-4 HC Shane Steichen
@
HOU Home

Houston Texans

2-4 HC DeMeco Ryans
Thursday 2026-11-19 · 20:15 ET Reliant Stadium, Houston US 🏟 Dome

Win Probability

IND
32.6%
HOU
67.4%
🏟 Dome

Confidence: clear edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • HOU defense: -0.144 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (6th in the league)
  • Indoors — weather neutralised
  • Daniel Jones (IND): -0.037 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • IND offense: -0.053 EPA/play over its last 8 games (24th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

IND 20 13–27
–
HOU 23 16–30
Projected margin: HOU by 3 Projected total: 43

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 11

IND

No players on the report.

HOU

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 11 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.