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SF Away

San Francisco 49ers

6-0 HC Kyle Shanahan
@
DAL Home

Dallas Cowboys

2-4 HC Brian Schottenheimer
Sunday 2026-11-15 · 16:25 ET AT&T Stadium, Arlington US 🏟 Dome

Win Probability

SF
46.7%
DAL
53.3%
🏟 Dome

Confidence: coin flip Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • DAL defense: +0.179 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (30th in the league)
  • SF defense: +0.035 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (20th in the league)
  • SF offense: +0.041 EPA/play over its last 8 games (11th in the league)
  • DAL offense: +0.081 EPA/play over its last 8 games (5th in the league)
  • Indoors — weather neutralised
  • QB edge to SF: Dak Prescott (DAL) +0.165 vs Brock Purdy (SF) +0.249 EPA/dropback

Predicted Final Score

SF 26 19–33
–
DAL 27 20–34
Projected margin: DAL by 1 Projected total: 53

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 10

SF

No players on the report.

DAL

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 10 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.