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SF Away

San Francisco 49ers

HC Kyle Shanahan
@
DAL Home

Dallas Cowboys

HC Brian Schottenheimer
Sunday 2026-11-15 · 16:25 AT&T Stadium, Arlington US 🏟 Dome

Win Probability

SF
42.0%
DAL
58.0%
🏟 Dome

Confidence: <strong>slight edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • DAL defense: +0.179 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (30th in the league)
  • DAL offense: +0.081 EPA/play over its last 8 games (5th in the league)
  • SF offense: +0.041 EPA/play over its last 8 games (11th in the league)
  • Indoors — weather neutralised
  • QB edge to DAL: Dak Prescott (DAL) +0.161 vs Brock Purdy (SF) +0.177 EPA/dropback

Predicted Final Score

SF 26
DAL 27
Projected margin: DAL by 1 Projected total: 53

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 10

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.