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PIT Away

Pittsburgh Steelers

4-2 HC Mike McCarthy
@
CIN Home

Cincinnati Bengals

3-2 HC Zac Taylor
Sunday 2026-11-15 · 20:20 ET Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

PIT
35.5%
CIN
64.5%
❓ Unknown

Confidence: clear edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • QB edge to CIN: Joe Burrow (CIN) +0.155 vs Aaron Rodgers (PIT) -0.055 EPA/dropback
  • PIT offense: -0.062 EPA/play over its last 8 games (25th in the league)
  • PIT on 7 more days rest than CIN
  • CIN offense: +0.007 EPA/play over its last 8 games (15th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

PIT 23 16–30
–
CIN 24 17–31
Projected margin: CIN by 1 Projected total: 47

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 10

PIT

No players on the report.

CIN

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 10 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.