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LAC Away

Los Angeles Chargers

0-6 HC Jim Harbaugh
@
BAL Home

Baltimore Ravens

4-2 HC Jesse Minter
Monday 2026-11-16 · 20:15 ET M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

LAC
27.5%
BAL
72.5%
❓ Unknown

Confidence: strong edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • LAC offense: -0.124 EPA/play over its last 8 games (27th in the league)
  • Justin Herbert (LAC): -0.130 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • LAC defense: -0.089 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (8th in the league)
  • BAL on 3 more days rest than LAC
  • Lamar Jackson (BAL): +0.069 EPA/dropback in prior starts

Predicted Final Score

LAC 20 13–27
–
BAL 26 19–33
Projected margin: BAL by 6 Projected total: 46

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 10

LAC

No players on the report.

BAL

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 10 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.