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Kansas City Chiefs

5-0 HC Andy Reid
@
ATL Home

Atlanta Falcons

2-4 HC Raheem Morris
Sunday 2026-11-15 · 13:00 ET Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta US 🏟 Dome

Win Probability

KC
42.2%
ATL
57.8%
🏟 Dome

Confidence: slight edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • KC offense: -0.120 EPA/play over its last 8 games (26th in the league)
  • KC defense: -0.031 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (13th in the league)
  • Indoors — weather neutralised
  • ATL offense: +0.018 EPA/play over its last 8 games (13th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

KC 22 15–29
–
ATL 23 16–30
Projected margin: ATL by 1 Projected total: 45

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 10

KC

No players on the report.

ATL

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 10 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.