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Sunday 2026-11-15 · 13:00 ET
Nissan Stadium, Nashville US
❓ Unknown
Win Probability
Unknown
Confidence: clear edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- QB edge to JAX: Cam Ward (TEN) -0.150 vs Trevor Lawrence (JAX) +0.289 EPA/dropback
- JAX offense: +0.093 EPA/play over its last 8 games (4th in the league)
- TEN defense: +0.070 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (27th in the league)
- TEN offense: -0.136 EPA/play over its last 8 games (29th in the league)
- TEN on 4 more days rest than JAX
New to these stats? NFL 101 Glossary →
Predicted Final Score
JAX
29
22–36
–
TEN
18
11–25
Projected margin: JAX by 11
Projected total: 47
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 10
JAX
No players on the report.
TEN
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 10 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.
