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Thursday 2026-11-05 · 20:15 ET
M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore US
❓ Unknown
Win Probability
Unknown
Confidence: coin flip Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- JAX offense: +0.093 EPA/play over its last 8 games (4th in the league)
- Trevor Lawrence (JAX): +0.289 EPA/dropback in prior starts
- Lamar Jackson (BAL): +0.069 EPA/dropback in prior starts
New to these stats? NFL 101 Glossary →
Predicted Final Score
JAX
25
18–32
–
BAL
23
16–30
Projected margin: JAX by 2
Projected total: 48
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 9
JAX
No players on the report.
BAL
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 9 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.
