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Sunday 2026-11-08 · 16:05 ET
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood US
🏟 Dome
Win Probability
Dome
Confidence: slight edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- HOU defense: -0.144 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (6th in the league)
- LAC offense: -0.124 EPA/play over its last 8 games (27th in the league)
- LAC defense: -0.089 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (8th in the league)
- Justin Herbert (LAC): -0.130 EPA/dropback in prior starts
- HOU on 7 more days rest than LAC
- Indoors — weather neutralised
- HOU offense: -0.032 EPA/play over its last 8 games (23rd in the league)
New to these stats? NFL 101 Glossary →
Predicted Final Score
HOU
24
17–31
–
LAC
21
14–28
Projected margin: HOU by 3
Projected total: 45
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 9
HOU
No players on the report.
LAC
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 9 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.
