4TH&DATA
EN ES
Home
DET Away

Detroit Lions

3-2 HC Dan Campbell
@
MIA Home

Miami Dolphins

0-5 HC Jeff Hafley
Sunday 2026-11-08 · 13:00 ET Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

DET
64.1%
MIA
35.9%
❓ Unknown

Confidence: clear edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • QB edge to DET: Malik Willis (MIA) -0.058 vs Jared Goff (DET) +0.224 EPA/dropback
  • MIA offense: -0.018 EPA/play over its last 8 games (20th in the league)
  • MIA defense: +0.057 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (23rd in the league)
  • DET offense: +0.018 EPA/play over its last 8 games (12th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

DET 26 19–33
–
MIA 21 14–28
Projected margin: DET by 5 Projected total: 47

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 9

DET

No players on the report.

MIA

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 9 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.