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Sunday 2026-11-08 · 13:00 ET
Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis US
🏟 Dome
Win Probability
Dome
Confidence: coin flip Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- DAL defense: +0.179 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (30th in the league)
- DAL offense: +0.081 EPA/play over its last 8 games (5th in the league)
- QB edge to DAL: Daniel Jones (IND) -0.037 vs Dak Prescott (DAL) +0.165 EPA/dropback
- IND offense: -0.053 EPA/play over its last 8 games (24th in the league)
- Indoors — weather neutralised
- IND defense: +0.067 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (25th in the league)
New to these stats? NFL 101 Glossary →
Predicted Final Score
DAL
21
14–28
–
IND
26
19–33
Projected margin: IND by 5
Projected total: 47
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 9
DAL
No players on the report.
IND
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 9 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.
