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New England Patriots

4-2 HC Mike Vrabel
@
MIA Home

Miami Dolphins

0-5 HC Jeff Hafley
Sunday 2026-11-01 · 16:25 ET Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

NE
67.7%
MIA
32.3%
❓ Unknown

Confidence: clear edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.

Key Insights

  • NE defense: -0.157 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (5th in the league)
  • MIA offense: -0.018 EPA/play over its last 8 games (20th in the league)
  • NE offense: +0.061 EPA/play over its last 8 games (6th in the league)
  • MIA defense: +0.057 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (23rd in the league)
  • Malik Willis (MIA): -0.058 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • NE on 3 more days rest than MIA

Predicted Final Score

NE 26 19–33
–
MIA 20 13–27
Projected margin: NE by 6 Projected total: 46

The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.

Injury Report — Week 8

NE

No players on the report.

MIA

No players on the report.

Pulled fresh for 2026 week 8 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.

Actual Result

Not played yet.