4th & Data
EN ES
← Home
BAL Away

Baltimore Ravens

HC Jesse Minter
@
BUF Home

Buffalo Bills

HC Sean McDermott
Sunday 2026-11-01 · 13:00 Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

BAL
26.3%
BUF
73.7%
Unknown

Confidence: <strong>strong edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • BUF offense: +0.157 EPA/play over its last 8 games (2nd in the league)
  • BAL offense: +0.052 EPA/play over its last 8 games (9th in the league)
  • BUF on 7 more days rest than BAL
  • Josh Allen (BUF): +0.140 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • BUF defense: -0.058 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (10th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

BAL 22
BUF 27
Projected margin: BUF by 5 Projected total: 49

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 8

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.