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Sunday 2026-10-25 · 13:00 ET
Reliant Stadium, Houston US
🏟 Dome
Spread 10.0
O/U 42.5
Win Probability
Dome
Confidence: clear edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- HOU defense: -0.144 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (6th in the league)
- NYG offense: +0.042 EPA/play over its last 8 games (10th in the league)
- Indoors — weather neutralised
- Jameis Winston (NYG): -0.059 EPA/dropback in prior starts
- NYG defense: +0.022 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (17th in the league)
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Predicted Final Score
NYG
23
16–30
–
HOU
24
17–31
Projected margin: HOU by 1
Projected total: 47
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 7
NYG
No players on the report.
HOU
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 7 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.