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New England Patriots

HC Mike Vrabel
@
CHI Home

Chicago Bears

HC Ben Johnson
Thursday 2026-10-22 · 20:15 Soldier Field, Chicago US ❓ Unknown Spread 1.5 O/U 47.5

Win Probability

NE
47.2%
CHI
52.8%
Unknown

Confidence: <strong>coin flip</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • NE offense: +0.061 EPA/play over its last 8 games (6th in the league)
  • NE defense: -0.157 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (5th in the league)
  • CHI offense: +0.058 EPA/play over its last 8 games (7th in the league)
  • CHI defense: +0.055 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (22nd in the league)
  • Drake Maye (NE): +0.119 EPA/dropback in prior starts

Predicted Final Score

NE 24
CHI 25
Projected margin: CHI by 1 Projected total: 49

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 7

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.