4th & Data
EN ES
← Home
MIA Away

Miami Dolphins

HC Jeff Hafley
@
NYJ Home

New York Jets

HC Aaron Glenn
Sunday 2026-10-25 · 13:00 MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford US ❓ Unknown

Win Probability

MIA
65.7%
NYJ
34.3%
Unknown

Confidence: <strong>clear edge</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • NYJ offense: -0.229 EPA/play over its last 8 games (30th in the league)
  • NYJ defense: +0.224 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (32nd in the league)
  • Geno Smith (NYJ): -0.200 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • MIA on 7 more days rest than NYJ
  • MIA defense: +0.057 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (23rd in the league)

Predicted Final Score

MIA 27
NYJ 19
Projected margin: MIA by 8 Projected total: 46

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 7

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.