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Sunday 2026-10-25 · 20:20 ET
Lumen Field, Seattle US
☀️ Clear
Spread 2.5
O/U 42.5
Win Probability
Clear
Confidence: strong edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- SEA defense: -0.190 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (1st in the league)
- KC offense: -0.120 EPA/play over its last 8 games (26th in the league)
- KC defense: -0.031 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (13th in the league)
- SEA offense: +0.052 EPA/play over its last 8 games (8th in the league)
- Drew Lock (SEA): -0.018 EPA/dropback in prior starts
- SEA on 3 more days rest than KC
New to these stats? NFL 101 Glossary →
Predicted Final Score
KC
21
14–28
–
SEA
25
18–32
Projected margin: SEA by 4
Projected total: 46
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 7
KC
No players on the report.
SEA
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 7 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.
