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Sunday 2026-10-25 · 13:00 ET
U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis US
🏟 Dome
Spread 6.5
O/U 41.5
Win Probability
Dome
Confidence: clear edge Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the full track record.
Key Insights
- MIN offense: -0.129 EPA/play over its last 8 games (28th in the league)
- MIN defense: -0.164 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (3rd in the league)
- MIN on 7 more days rest than IND
- Indoors — weather neutralised
- Daniel Jones (IND): -0.037 EPA/dropback in prior starts
- IND offense: -0.053 EPA/play over its last 8 games (24th in the league)
New to these stats? NFL 101 Glossary →
Predicted Final Score
IND
20
13–27
–
MIN
24
17–31
Projected margin: MIN by 4
Projected total: 44
The range under each score is this model's typical error on unseen games — ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat the bigger number as the middle of that range, not a precise call — see the full track record.
Injury Report — Week 7
IND
No players on the report.
MIN
No players on the report.
Pulled fresh for 2026 week 7 specifically, not a cached snapshot — this changes every week as new reports come in.
Actual Result
Not played yet.
