4th & Data
EN ES
← Home
DEN Away

Denver Broncos

HC Sean Payton
@
ARI Home

Arizona Cardinals

HC Jonathan Gannon
Sunday 2026-10-25 · 16:05 State Farm Stadium, Glendale US 🏟 Dome

Win Probability

DEN
54.3%
ARI
45.7%
🏟 Dome

Confidence: <strong>coin flip</strong> Bands are honesty-checked against held-out seasons, not a feeling about this game — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Key Insights

  • ARI defense: +0.195 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (31st in the league)
  • Indoors — weather neutralised
  • DEN on 3 more days rest than ARI
  • Jacoby Brissett (ARI): -0.005 EPA/dropback in prior starts
  • DEN defense: -0.051 EPA/play allowed over its last 8 games (11th in the league)

Predicted Final Score

DEN 25
ARI 22
Projected margin: DEN by 3 Projected total: 47

Typical error on unseen games: ±10.2 pts on margin, ±10.7 pts on total (held-out 2025). Treat this as a range, not a prediction to the point — see the <a href="/track-record">full track record</a>.

Injury Report — Week 7

No injury report available yet for the 2026 season.

Actual Result

Not played yet.