Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New York Giants 4th & 9 at the 72

New York Giants 0 – Los Angeles Rams 7

(14:48) 15-J.Stout punts 61 yards to LA 11, Center-58-B.Mann. 19-X.Smith to LA 22 for 11 yards (46-Z.Barnes).

The Three Options

GO -2.02 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 63, worth +1.65 EP
61% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 72, worth -4.37 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (89 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model