Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 4 at the 73

Seattle Seahawks 12 – New England Patriots 0

(2:08) 4-M.Dickson punts 46 yards to NE 27, Center-41-C.Stoll, downed by SEA-28-N.Pritchett.

The Three Options

GO -1.72 EP

50% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 69, worth +0.90 EP
50% chance to fail: New England Patriots takes over around their own 73, worth -4.35 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model