Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 5 at the 67

Los Angeles Rams 13 – Seattle Seahawks 10

(1:03) 42-E.Evans punts 41 yards to SEA 26, Center-44-J.McQuaide, fair catch by 22-R.Shaheed.

The Three Options

GO -1.24 EP

46% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 62, worth +1.36 EP
54% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 67, worth -3.51 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (84 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model