Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 7 at the 83

Los Angeles Rams 17 – Chicago Bears 10

(2:00) 42-E.Evans punts 33 yards to 50, Center-44-J.McQuaide, downed by LA-24-E.Neal.

The Three Options

GO -1.81 EP

47% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 76, worth +0.84 EP
53% chance to fail: Chicago Bears takes over around their own 83, worth -4.15 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (100 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model