Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Chicago Bears 4th & 5 at the 75

Chicago Bears 7 – Los Angeles Rams 7

(12:32) 19-T.Taylor punts 51 yards to LA 24, Center-46-S.Daly, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.30 EP

49% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +1.58 EP
51% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 75, worth -4.07 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (92 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model