Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 10 at the 62

Pittsburgh Steelers 3 – Houston Texans 7

(7:10) 3-C.Waitman punts 43 yards to HOU 19, Center-46-C.Kuntz, downed by PIT-55-C.Holcomb.

The Three Options

GO -1.15 EP

34% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 52, worth +2.82 EP
66% chance to fail: Houston Texans takes over around their own 62, worth -3.22 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model