Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 10 at the 60

Dallas Cowboys 17 – New York Giants 34

(4:29) 5-B.Anger punts 45 yards to NYG 15, Center-44-T.Sieg. 80-G.Olszewski to NYG 21 for 6 yards (29-C.Goodwin).

The Three Options

GO -0.99 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 50, worth +2.30 EP
63% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 60, worth -2.90 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model