Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cleveland Browns 4th & 18 at the 74

Cleveland Browns 14 – Cincinnati Bengals 6

(7:19) 13-C.Bojorquez punts 52 yards to CIN 22, Center-50-R.Sunahara, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.75 EP

25% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 56, worth +2.24 EP
75% chance to fail: Cincinnati Bengals takes over around their own 74, worth -4.42 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (91 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model