Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Tennessee Titans 4th & 6 at the 64

Tennessee Titans 26 – New Orleans Saints 20

What Actually Happened

(8:57) 3-J.Hekker punts 61 yards to NO 3, Center-46-M.Cox. 11-D.Pettis to NO 20 for 17 yards (31-K.Mullings). ** Injury Update: TEN-12-M.Kinsey has returned to the game.

The Three Options

GO -1.33 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 58, worth +2.04 EP
60% chance to fail: New Orleans Saints takes over around their own 64, worth -3.60 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (81 yards).

The Verdict

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model