Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 New Orleans Saints 4th & 12 at the 82

New Orleans Saints 0 – Tennessee Titans 0

(10:50) 32-K.Kroeger punts 17 yards to NO 35, Center-49-Z.Wood, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -3.06 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +0.92 EP
67% chance to fail: Tennessee Titans takes over around their own 82, worth -5.06 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (99 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model