Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New York Giants 4th & 14 at the 74

New York Giants 3 – Minnesota Vikings 13

(1:04) 12-J.Gillan punts 51 yards to MIN 23, Center-59-C.Kreiter. 4-M.Price to MIN 35 for 12 yards (23-A.Green).

The Three Options

GO -2.02 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +1.64 EP
68% chance to fail: Minnesota Vikings takes over around their own 74, worth -3.78 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (91 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model