4TH&DATA
EN ES
Back to Game

Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 6 at the 85

Los Angeles Rams 30 – Seattle Seahawks 14

What Actually Happened

(8:18) 42-E.Evans punts 43 yards to SEA 42, Center-44-J.McQuaide. 22-R.Shaheed for 58 yards, TOUCHDOWN.

The Three Options

GO -2.22 EP
  • 48% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 79, worth +0.78 EP
  • 52% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 85, worth -4.94 EP
KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (102 yards).

PUNT -2.00 EP
What Happened Model's Pick
  • Seattle Seahawks would take over around their own 43, worth -2.00 EP

The Verdict

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model