Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Philadelphia Eagles 4th & 5 at the 60

Philadelphia Eagles 0 – Chicago Bears 0

(7:05) 10-B.Mann punts 38 yards to CHI 22, Center-57-C.Adomitis, fair catch by 12-D.Duvernay.

The Three Options

GO -0.44 EP

46% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 55, worth +2.60 EP
54% chance to fail: Chicago Bears takes over around their own 60, worth -3.08 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model