Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Green Bay Packers 4th & 16 at the 68

Green Bay Packers 13 – New York Giants 13

(:25) 19-D.Whelan punts 40 yards to NYG 28, Center-42-M.Orzech, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.38 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 52, worth +1.57 EP
69% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 68, worth -2.72 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (85 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model