Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Minnesota Vikings 4th & 8 at the 63

Minnesota Vikings 10 – Chicago Bears 16

(7:25) 17-R.Wright punts 45 yards to CHI 18, Center-42-A.DePaola, fair catch by 12-D.Duvernay.

The Three Options

GO -1.41 EP

38% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 55, worth +2.07 EP
62% chance to fail: Chicago Bears takes over around their own 63, worth -3.51 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (80 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model